Predict football punt and kickoff return yards with fat-tailed distribution using GluonTS
AWS Machine Learning
FEBRUARY 2, 2023
The downside of this approach is that we want small bins to have a high definition picture of the distribution, but small bins mean fewer data points per bin and our distribution, especially the tails, may be poorly estimated and irregular. Furthermore, we looked at the probability of a touchdown and probability plots to evaluate calibration.
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