Predict football punt and kickoff return yards with fat-tailed distribution using GluonTS
AWS Machine Learning
FEBRUARY 2, 2023
For example, the true yardage distribution for kickoff and punts are similar but shifted, as shown in the following figure. For evaluation, we kept the metric used in the Kaggle competition, the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) , which can be seen as an alternative to the log-likelihood that is more robust to outliers.
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